Modernizing Probable Maximum Precipitation Estimation

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Description

This study committee will consider approaches for estimating probable maximum precipitation (PMP) in a changing climate, with the goal of recommending an updated approach, appropriate for decision-maker needs. PMP is commonly used in the design of critical infrastructure. The committee is charged with establishing a common understanding of PMP; reviewing and assessing existing approaches to PMP estimation and for incorporating the impacts of climate change on those estimates; assessing PMP data needs and sources; and recommending...

Eligible Applicants- Unrestricted

Additional Eligibility Information

The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine will convene an ad hoc committee to consider approaches for estimating probable maximum precipitation (PMP) in a changing climate. The study aims to serve a range of public- and private-sector users.

Funding TypeotherCategories of Funding Activity- Earth Sciences- Engineering and Technology- Environment and Environmental Studies- Math, Chemistry, and Physics

Grantor Contact InformationSteven Stichter, Telephone: (202) 334-2430Grantor Emailsstichter@nas.eduOther Grantor InformationThe National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine are private, nonprofit institutions that provide independent, objective advice to inform policy with evidence, spark progress and innovation, and confront challenging issues for the benefit of society. They are comprised of three academies: the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the National Academy of Medicine. The organization convenes hundreds of conferences, workshops, and symposia annually, bringing together leading experts from academia, public, and private sectors. Their work focuses on providing high-quality, evidence-based consensus on complex scientific, engineering, and health-related challenges. They produce peer-reviewed reports, publish scientific journals, and serve as a trusted source of expert advice for policymaking. The National Academies mobilize approximately 6,000 top experts each year who volunteer their time and knowledge to conduct policy studies, workshops, and other activities aimed at addressing critical issues facing the nation and world.

Additional InformationFor more than 75 years, high-hazard structures in the U.S., including dams and nuclear power plants, have been engineered to withstand floods resulting from the most unlikely but possible precipitation, termed Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP). Failure of any one of the more than 16,000 high-hazard dams and 50 nuclear power plants in the United States could result in the loss of life and impose significant economic losses and widespread environmental damage, especially under the pressures of climate change. Additional URLs:

https://nap.nationalacademies.org/27460

https://research.noaa.gov/2024/06/28/national-academies-unveils-strategy-to-modernize-probable-maximum-precipitation-estimates/

https://nap.nationalacademies.org/resource/27460/Report_Highlights__Modernizing_PMP_Estimation.pdf

Supporting Linkhttps://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/modernizing-probable-maximum-precipitation-estimation

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